Thing is, hes on all the papers so I'd imagine if you know little about politics, you'd back him.
The reality is hes a back bencher extremeist. It would be far more unlikely than say Corbyn taking over Labour.
I disagree. I feel there is a real danger of Mogg taking over, he's literally once decent Conference speech away from it in my opinion. He actually isn't that "extreme" for the Tories, he just seems to have a way of explaining his repugnant views that somehow make them seem more acceptable.
Sajid Javid, Phillip Hammond or Ruth Davidson would be my choices. Hammond has no chance though, obviously.
Or they could go with someone we know very little to nothing about.
In a battle of the old guard, then Gove would be the best outcome. Mogg, Leadsom, Boris, Hunt, Davis, and Patel would all be hopeless. At least Gove is proving himself (along with Javid) to be competent in the department they're currently in, though he's clearly in his element, and how often does that happen. By the time a minister has got his head around one department, possibly one they couldn't really give a toss about, they're off again.