Brexit Thread 2

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Blue Eyes** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 1:59 pm

It seems foolish to be optimistic in light of all this, but strawberry float, the alternative to remaining in the EU is such a clusterfuck of insanity I can only believe that Brexit will be called off. Sorry, racists, xenophobes and morons.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Moggy** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:20 pm

Lagamorph wrote:Remember when Wales voted Leave?

twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1023846625234563072

Wales voted out so that’s a big jump in support for the EU!

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **more heat than light** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:24 pm

Moggy wrote:
Lagamorph wrote:Remember when Wales voted Leave?

twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1023846625234563072

Wales voted out so that’s a big jump in support for the EU!

Again, I don't want to gooseberry fool on anyone's cornflakes but it's a poll of just 1446. Assuming it's proportional with the size of the UK that's less than 100 Welsh people polled.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Blue Eyes** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:32 pm

How many people have turned 18 over the past two years and how many stupid, nasty old racists have died? Apparently, nowhere near enough to make this a much bigger majority of sane people.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Jenuall** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:32 pm

I would love another vote and would be fairly confident that remain would win, but I still can't see it happening sadly.

Also not sure if anyone has seen this yet:

twitter.com/JamieMcGrath__/status/1023567403974840325

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **DML** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 2:40 pm

Blue Eyes wrote:It seems foolish to be optimistic in light of all this, but strawberry float, the alternative to remaining in the EU is such a clusterfuck of insanity I can only believe that Brexit will be called off. Sorry, racists, xenophobes and morons.

This is why May as much as shes had some disatrous moments isn't the worst person to be PM. She clearly planned full alignment (BRINO) only for to be pole-axed, so its very possible she could go towards a second referendum. The odds continue to fall on it.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Cuttooth** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:01 pm

more heat than light wrote:
Moggy wrote:
Lagamorph wrote:Remember when Wales voted Leave?

twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1023846625234563072

Wales voted out so that’s a big jump in support for the EU!

Again, I don't want to gooseberry fool on anyone's cornflakes but it's a poll of just 1446. Assuming it's proportional with the size of the UK that's less than 100 Welsh people polled.

What's a minimum good sample size for you?

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Moggy** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:02 pm

Jenuall wrote:I would love another vote and would be fairly confident that remain would win, but I still can't see it happening sadly.

Also not sure if anyone has seen this yet:

twitter.com/JamieMcGrath__/status/1023567403974840325

That video is rapidly turning into this years dog poo in the postbox.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Hexx** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:05 pm

What video?

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **BID0** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:09 pm

If anyone still hasn't seen this one:

twitter.com/JamieMcGrath__/status/1023567403974840325

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Moggy** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:17 pm

Hexx wrote:What video?

Farage shitting in postboxes, keep up.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **DML** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:19 pm

...a white hole?

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Squinty** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:25 pm

That Farage video has the most epic brainfart in it. He just has nothing.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Cuttooth** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:34 pm

Squinty wrote:That Farage video has the most epic brainfart in it. He just has nothing.

It's Daniella of Maidstone's little "...hello?" that makes it. :lol:

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Jenuall** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 3:43 pm

I've never seen one before - no one has.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **more heat than light** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 4:12 pm

Cuttooth wrote:
more heat than light wrote:
Moggy wrote:
Lagamorph wrote:Remember when Wales voted Leave?

twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1023846625234563072

Wales voted out so that’s a big jump in support for the EU!

Again, I don't want to gooseberry fool on anyone's cornflakes but it's a poll of just 1446. Assuming it's proportional with the size of the UK that's less than 100 Welsh people polled.

What's a minimum good sample size for you?

I don't have an actual figure in mind, but do you not think it seems small? Especially considering the widespread media coverage it's receiving about a shift in the public opinion.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Blue Eyes** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 4:18 pm

more heat than light wrote:
Cuttooth wrote:
more heat than light wrote:
Moggy wrote:
Lagamorph wrote:Remember when Wales voted Leave?

twitter.com/EuropeElects/status/1023846625234563072

Wales voted out so that’s a big jump in support for the EU!

Again, I don't want to gooseberry fool on anyone's cornflakes but it's a poll of just 1446. Assuming it's proportional with the size of the UK that's less than 100 Welsh people polled.

What's a minimum good sample size for you?

I don't have an actual figure in mind, but do you not think it seems small? Especially considering the widespread media coverage it's receiving about a shift in the public opinion.

Aren't all polls pretty much done with a sample of just over 1,000 people?

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by KK » Mon Jul 30, 2018 4:22 pm

That sample of people isn't unusual if chosen correctly (in this case it's Sky's own customer base), as it should be weighted to be in line with the demographic make-up of the UK.

On past results, Sky's data does tend to differ from the likes of YouGov and Ipsos however in regards to gulf, but generally is in-line in terms of showing where the country is leaning when compared with other pollsters.

We know for example based on an overall picture the majority of the population thinks the government is doing a bad job with Brexit.

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **more heat than light** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 4:34 pm

That's fine as an overall picture, but when you start breaking it down it starts to look a little shaky. Using the earlier example, if they've surveyed less than a hundred Welsh people it doesn't really qualify as an accurate picture of Wales, does it?

PostRe: Brexit Thread 2 by **Squinty** » Mon Jul 30, 2018 5:20 pm

Polls are gooseberry fool basically. I don't like using them as proof of anything, in regards to Brexit.

Brexit Thread 2

How would you vote if we had to vote again?

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