The Politics Thread 3.0

[Lagamorph]

Where was this Ed Milliband when it mattered. Instead we got wimpy Ed.

twitter.com/peston/status/928375928807477248

What time is News at 10 on? The tweet doesn't make it too clear.

[Lex-Man]

Apparently the British government is trying to water down action on the Paradise Paper by the EU.

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po ... 43881.html

The British government pushed to water down key parts of an EU crackdown on corporate tax havens at a European Council meeting this week, days after the Paradise Papers leak revealed more evidence of tax dodging in UK overseas territories.

[Cuttooth]

twitter.com/HadiNili/status/928343627616718850

Good work Boris. Well done.

[Lagamorph]

Not all that long ago I would've genuinely believed all this stuff hitting at once would be more than enough to cause the government of any civilised country to utterly collapse. Every bit of common sense says that it should.

[KK]

EU preparing for the collapse of May's government before the year is out according to Times front page, along with a load of other scenarios.

Telegraph just calling it another day, another crisis.

[Tineash]

There's really no time for another election this year.

[Lagamorph]

So what would actually happen if May's government collapsed? Not just in terms of the negotiations with the EU, but for the running of the country itself.

[Meep]

twitter.com/HadiNili/status/928343627616718850

Good work Boris. Well done.

Stop supporting Iran! Don't you know any criticism of our foreign minister is siding with the enemy?

[Return_of_the_STAR]

I really don’t see Mays goverment collapsing anytime soon. I just think they will carry on regardless. May could even run through another wheat field and get away with it.

[DML]

So what would actually happen if May's government collapsed? Not just in terms of the negotiations with the EU, but for the running of the country itself.

An election to find a new government.

[DML]

I really don’t see Mays goverment collapsing anytime soon. I just think they will carry on regardless. May could even run through another wheat field and get away with it.

They have a wafer thin majority via coalition. They are disaster after disaster right now. If they lose a few MPS or the DUP quit and they won't have a choice. When so much chaos is happening I wouldn't rule it out.

[Lagamorph]

So what would actually happen if May's government collapsed? Not just in terms of the negotiations with the EU, but for the running of the country itself.

An election to find a new government.

I have to wonder how the Tories would even begin to contest it right now. The collapse would mean May is gone, and nobody actually wants to be in charge. Boris seems to be turning out to have little to no actual support behind him after his recent antics. I suspect it would take the Tories longer to find a new leader than the election campaign would actually last. I doubt the entire process could go on hold just because they're busy infighting and have no leader.

[Shadow]

No-one will even want to be leader. After all this crap, they'd be staring down the barrel of a GE against Corbyn at the start of next year. Which you'd have to imagine given the total mess the gov has been in since the last election would be a guaranteed Labour majority.

Any candidate would basically be putting themselves in the firing line and then most likely see their career in front-bench politics ended.

[Lagamorph]

Whilst I could see Labour being the biggest party I honestly wouldn't be surprised if a GE early next year resulted in no majority for anyone.

[Shadow]

Yeah, maybe. I guess it depends what Scotland does.

[Lagamorph]

I could very easily see Sturgeon demanding that any Coaltion with the SNP is completely dependent on them being allowed to hold another independence referendum during that parliament, which I doubt there's much enthusiasm for in the Labour party. Anecdotally there's not exactly overwhelming support for it in Scotland outside of the SNP themselves either.

[Moggy]

I don’t think the government will collapse in the way governments have in the past. The Fixed Term Parliament Act means that there can’t be another election until 2022, unless 2/3rds of Parliament votes for it.

With the current state of things, the Tories may think it’s better for them to push on as a minority government (assuming the DUP stopped their support) and refuse to vote for another election.

It’s far more likely that there’ll be a leadership contest and May will get forced out. The only thing stopping that is that nobody wants the job until after Brexit. But they might decide things have gone so far that they have no choice but to get rid of her.

[Moggy]

twitter.com/mrjamesob/status/928548597779615744

[Cuttooth]

Can't a motion of no confidence still be passed despite the Fixed Parliament Act?

[Denster]

No.