Cuttooth wrote:I can't see how this zombie government can recover at the moment.
The options are:
Theresa May calls another snap election and gets 2/3rds support in Parliament. Sound ridiculous, but would actually be the least ridiculous thing to happen in UK politics over the last few months.
Corbyn (or somebody else) calls for a motion of no confidence, wins the vote and an election is called. You’d imagine that the Tories will be decimated in the subsequent election, but then we all thought they’d win 100+ majority when May called the last election so the Tories would probably win 650 seats outright.
Corbyn (or somebody else) calls for a motion of no confidence and loses the vote. Massively damaging to Corbyn (or whoever calls it) and might even result in reasserting some authority for May/the Tories (“See! Everyone has confidence in me!”).
The Tories knife May in the back and a new PM is appointed by them. This is massively risky for whoever does the stabbing, it’s risky for the party to be seen as fighting during Brexit and there is no guarantee whoever takes over will be any better than May. The whole front bench look incompetent at the moment, who could realistically do a better job? Who would want to be the one in charge during Brexit?
Theresa May shambles on like a terrible plotline from the Walking Dead (and that show has been appalling lately) through the Brexit process and possibly up until just before the 2022 election. This is the option I think May and the majority of Tories favour and so is probably the most likely to happen.
Even though I think the last option is the most likely, I predict that some ambitious but obscure Tory will stick a knife in by early next year. He/She will smell the blood in the water and strike, either as part of an ambition to be PM or on behalf of Boris who will not want to strike the first blow.