Return_of_the_STAR wrote:It appears it was the state polls that were well off in 2016. The national one ended at 3-4% and Clinton won the popular vote by 2%. However states like Pennsylvania had her between 5-10% ahead but she lost.
I’m still pretty confident we will see a Biden win though.
A cursory google suggests that at no time did Pennsylvania polling have Clinton at anything more than around 5.5%. By Election Day last time that sat at 3.7%. At the moment Trump needs a much more significant swing than that to take the state.
I’m also very sceptical about Russia’s ability or intention to sabotage vast swathes of the American voting system. It simply wouldn’t be within their interests to get caught doing something like that.