Re: Brexit Thread 2
Posted: Sat Oct 13, 2018 4:17 pm
Through my letterbox this morning, ladies:
Lagamorph wrote:Has there ever been a minority government in the history of parliament that didn't collapse?
The Brexit negotiators want to reach an agreement on the withdrawal agreement this Sunday. This emerges from an internal document of the EU negotiators, which breaks down the "provisional timetable" and its content was presented to the EU ambassadors on Friday. The paper is available to the Süddeutsche Zeitung.
The hurdles on the way to an agreement are highlighted in red. For this Sunday is noted: "Deal made, nothing made public (in theory)". The agreement will then be approved by the UK Government on Monday. This is followed by a public announcement by British Brexit Minister Dominic Raab and EU Chief Negotiator Michel Barnier in Brussels.
At the center of the negotiations on Saturday, there was still the question of what a backstop could look like if there were no free trade agreement between Brussels and London after the transition phase that runs until the end of 2020.
To avoid a hard border between Ireland and Northern Ireland, a possible compromise solution emerged. Northern Ireland could thus remain in the European internal market for a limited period of time, which would make controls at the inner border superfluous. The rest of the UK could in turn remain linked to the EU in a customs union.
On the other hand, there was resistance from Northern Ireland on Saturday. The Northern Irish party DUP once again rejected any rule that treated Northern Ireland differently than the rest of the kingdom. In order to get a Brexit agreement through the British Parliament, Prime Minister Theresa May needs the support of the DUP.
If there is an agreement this weekend, it should be discussed on the EU side on Tuesday in the General Council and then approved by the 27 Heads of State and Government at their EU summit meeting on Wednesday evening. For the day after it is noted: "Deal with Theresa May confirmed in the European Council".
twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1051034046267043840
Lagamorph wrote:Don't think the coalition counts as a minority government so basically No.
Moggy wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Don't think the coalition counts as a minority government so basically No.
You’re ignoring John Major?
Lagamorph wrote:Moggy wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Don't think the coalition counts as a minority government so basically No.
You’re ignoring John Major?
I just forgot about him. Can you blame me?
Cuttooth wrote:twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1051034046267043840
"Leave the UK, it's what I would do."
Lagamorph wrote:Moggy wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Don't think the coalition counts as a minority government so basically No.
You’re ignoring John Major?
I just forgot about him. Can you blame me?
Nibble wrote:Cuttooth wrote:twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1051034046267043840
"Leave the UK, it's what I would do."
Alvin Flummux wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Moggy wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Don't think the coalition counts as a minority government so basically No.
You’re ignoring John Major?
I just forgot about him. Can you blame me?
He's like the really boring priest from Father Ted.
lex-man wrote:Alvin Flummux wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Moggy wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Don't think the coalition counts as a minority government so basically No.
You’re ignoring John Major?
I just forgot about him. Can you blame me?
He's like the really boring priest from Father Ted.
He's has gotten really bitchy in old age.
Moggy wrote:DML wrote:Moggy wrote:DML wrote:Moggy wrote:SillySprout wrote:Still can't see Brexit happening without another election, the margins are way too tight in government to get any deal, or indeed no deal voted through parliament. In that case, would May call a general election or a second referendum?
It doesn’t work like that unfortunately.
If Parliament can’t agree then we crash out of the EU with no deal. Article 50 has been triggered and would need Parliament (and the EU!) to agree an extension.
May can call for a general election but Parliament would have to agree it (with a two-thirds majority). I’d imagine Labour would almost certainly support it and it’d happen, but it’s not guaranteed just because May wants it.
A second referendum would also require Parliament’s backing, again it’d probably happen, but isn’t guaranteed. May would also have to get EU backing for an extension (as there isn’t really enough time left otherwise) and also get the EU to confirm they are happy with the plans.
It’s an absolute mess.
At the risk of you savaging me, I must point out even the no deal crash out isn't a certainty, as many legal people have already suggested it just may not be legal for the country to crash out. So even the 'No Deal' some crazies wants may not even happen!
Really I struggle to believe that this government can reach March just on the same course, something will have to give, whether thats May or something else.
“Many legal people have already suggested”
Link?
Genuinelly don't have a link, but read it a few times. Not sure what I would search for.
So you must point out that many people have suggested something and you’ve read it a few times but you don’t have anything we can read to see what those many legal people have said?
You might be right, but other than the backstop applying to N Ireland, I’m not aware of anything that would make crashing out illegal. And even if it’s illegal, that doesn’t mean it wouldn’t happen.
Multiple Labour MPs have told The Independent they are prepared to support the Brexit agreement Theresa May hopes to bring back from Brussels, boosting the prime minister’s chances of forcing it through parliament.
The MPs include the first to state publicly that they will struggle to vote against a deal secured in Brussels if the alternative is a no-deal Brexit – even if, as expected, Jeremy Corbyn orders his party to oppose it.
They say that crashing out of the EU would be a disaster for their constituents, while also fearing a backlash from voters accusing them of blocking Brexit.
Labour MPs told The Independent that at least 15 could rebel against Mr Corbyn and back the government, which could be enough to tip the balance in the Commons in favour of the deal.
One prepared to go public, Gareth Snell, MP for Stoke Central, said: “If the deal is some sort of customs union, protection of the unity of the union and looking at a future trade deal, it would be very hard to justify why we’re not supporting that.”
Ruth Smeeth, Stoke North MP, said: “If the option is voting for the deal or voting for something that would mean no deal – well, I’m not prepared to vote for no-deal.”
Don Valley MP Caroline Flint said: “I believe if there is a reasonable deal that stops us crashing out with no deal, we shouldn’t rule it out.”
Lagamorph wrote:Labour MPs reveal they are ready to rescue Theresa May's Brexit deal in Commons voteMultiple Labour MPs have told The Independent they are prepared to support the Brexit agreement Theresa May hopes to bring back from Brussels, boosting the prime minister’s chances of forcing it through parliament.
The MPs include the first to state publicly that they will struggle to vote against a deal secured in Brussels if the alternative is a no-deal Brexit – even if, as expected, Jeremy Corbyn orders his party to oppose it.
They say that crashing out of the EU would be a disaster for their constituents, while also fearing a backlash from voters accusing them of blocking Brexit.Labour MPs told The Independent that at least 15 could rebel against Mr Corbyn and back the government, which could be enough to tip the balance in the Commons in favour of the deal.
One prepared to go public, Gareth Snell, MP for Stoke Central, said: “If the deal is some sort of customs union, protection of the unity of the union and looking at a future trade deal, it would be very hard to justify why we’re not supporting that.”
Ruth Smeeth, Stoke North MP, said: “If the option is voting for the deal or voting for something that would mean no deal – well, I’m not prepared to vote for no-deal.”
Don Valley MP Caroline Flint said: “I believe if there is a reasonable deal that stops us crashing out with no deal, we shouldn’t rule it out.”
Return_of_the_STAR wrote:Lagamorph wrote:Labour MPs reveal they are ready to rescue Theresa May's Brexit deal in Commons voteMultiple Labour MPs have told The Independent they are prepared to support the Brexit agreement Theresa May hopes to bring back from Brussels, boosting the prime minister’s chances of forcing it through parliament.
The MPs include the first to state publicly that they will struggle to vote against a deal secured in Brussels if the alternative is a no-deal Brexit – even if, as expected, Jeremy Corbyn orders his party to oppose it.
They say that crashing out of the EU would be a disaster for their constituents, while also fearing a backlash from voters accusing them of blocking Brexit.Labour MPs told The Independent that at least 15 could rebel against Mr Corbyn and back the government, which could be enough to tip the balance in the Commons in favour of the deal.
One prepared to go public, Gareth Snell, MP for Stoke Central, said: “If the deal is some sort of customs union, protection of the unity of the union and looking at a future trade deal, it would be very hard to justify why we’re not supporting that.”
Ruth Smeeth, Stoke North MP, said: “If the option is voting for the deal or voting for something that would mean no deal – well, I’m not prepared to vote for no-deal.”
Don Valley MP Caroline Flint said: “I believe if there is a reasonable deal that stops us crashing out with no deal, we shouldn’t rule it out.”
I don’t see why labour wouldn’t support any deal over a no deal. Once they get back into power they can look to improve the deal and form closes links if they so wish.