Crytek's Cevat Yerli speculates on the next generation!

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cooldawn
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PostCrytek's Cevat Yerli speculates on the next generation!
by cooldawn » Fri Sep 19, 2008 7:50 pm

Take a peek at this lads/lassies

http://www.edge-online.com/news/gc-asia ... ystation-4

During his keynote address in Singapore, Crytek's Cevat Yerli outlined a history of game graphics, then told his audience at the Games Convention Asia that the next generation of their proprietary technology would be available for the next generation of console hardware in 2012.

While PC hardware is in contestant flux, the consoles give developers a fixed window of constraints. And because Crytek games use high-tone graphics engines, they must start designing for the future.

Which means the company is starting to estimate when the next-gen consoles will be on the market. "Sony knows, but they wouldn't tell us," said Yerli. "But our estimate is 2011, or 2012." He adds that he expects the next Xbox a year before the PS4.

Having estimated the console cycle, Crytek must now consider the technology inside the boxes, because the hardware will create new challenges.

"That knowledge should be used to differentiate your game from the competition," says Yerli, explaining why it's imperative to shift now, instead of saying 'I will get the last twenty-percent of performance from this graphics cycle.'

Yerli says that processors are on a collision course: GPUs are getting more towards general purpose computing, and CPUs are getting more towards parallel processing. "The GPUS and CPUS are on a collision course."

"With facts and trends," he continues, "you can make a most informed decision." For example, says Yerli, we know that until 2012 there's a fixed maximum resolution for gaming.

"The risk of 'uncanny valley' for content is increased. As the more realistic graphics become the animation may not adapt," Yerli says. "All the aspects of the content have to be grown together."

"Games will differentiate more and more in artistic style, physics, and AI, to be different," predicts Yerli. He also says that "Huge gains are possible in physics and AI."

Trends and facts give an inclination, and Yerli sees three possible futures, involving Point Based Rendering, Ray Tracing, or Rasterization.

"The future, in our terms, starts next year. Next year we start researching our 2012 engine," the Crytek founder told the audience.

"I believe in 2011 and beyond, you'll see very creative use of rendering methods," Yerli says. "It will develop a lot of styles."

Which might sound rather technical, but there are other ramifications. "Software rendering will become, again, a renaissance of programming. That will allow for a new style that will rival CGI."

Having reached those conclusions, Yerli states: "The action is simple. We are linking ourselves to the console cycle."

"Frankly we are linking ourselves to the PS4," he continues by saying that it's a "driving beacon" for his company, despite the fact that Sony hasn't given the company full details. "That's probably the most important information that our company is missing."

But there are risks to ignoring the future. Yerli returns to the idea that, the future, the look of the game will be crucial to it's sucess. "If you make the wrong call at the beginning, you'll find that you look similar to others...and you spent a lot of money to look like the others."

"The future is bright and challenging," ends Yerli. "The market is fine."

Anyone else think he's off his rockers?

"Race drivers don't really care how fast they're going..we keep going faster and faster until we approach that limit of control and that's when we balance ourselves..that's how we make good time."
JOHN FITCH
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more heat than light
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PostRe: Crytek's Cevat Yerli speculates on the next generation!
by more heat than light » Fri Sep 19, 2008 7:54 pm

cooldawn wrote:Anyone else think he's off his rockers?


"Frankly we are linking ourselves to the PS4," he continues by saying that it's a "driving beacon" for his company, despite the fact that Sony hasn't given the company full details. "That's probably the most important information that our company is missing."


Yup.

:lol:

Oblomov Boblomov wrote:MHTL is an OG ledge
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Carlos
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PostRe: Crytek's Cevat Yerli speculates on the next generation!
by Carlos » Fri Sep 19, 2008 9:39 pm

The next generation wont be a significant leap forward in graphics because TVs are going to remain at 1080p for a very long time to come. Hell, by 2012 we'll only be starting to get terrestrial 720p in this country. Instead well be looking at the end user interface, online, downloads and other ideas to continue the solid foundations this gen has laid down for the future.

Id expect Sony and Microsoft to continue with their media centre integration ideas, with blu-ray becoming a standard on all consoles (Apart from Nintendo who will go with a HD-DVD offshoot to combat piracy. In fact thats a brilliant idea, actually.) and more of a centralisation behind online services.
Due to high budgets and constraints I can see episodic gaming really taking off, as its less of a gamble for publishers and shops can sell compilation discs with special features to make them worth the money.

Nintendo will evolve the wii remote with motion+ built in, as well as a fully sensitive nunchuk. Later in this e and continuing next gen they will start to appease both their core fans (who will be needed ot drive adoption of a wii 2) and the mass market.

The PSP2 will be a joint collaberation with Sony Ericsson as surely SCE are looking green eyed at the iphone.

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LewieP
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PostRe: Crytek's Cevat Yerli speculates on the next generation!
by LewieP » Fri Sep 19, 2008 9:48 pm

I'll take some of what he's smoking please.

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