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Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 11:46 am
by Oblomov Boblomov
Predicting a hung parliament, some sort of cross-party collaboration (not a formal coalition), a second referendum and a glorious victory for Remain.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 11:48 am
by Tomous
Oblomov Boblomov wrote:Predicting a hung parliament, some sort of cross-party collaboration (not a formal coalition), a second referendum and a glorious victory for Remain.
I do love your faith in our glorious victory
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 12:24 pm
by Moggy
Jenuall wrote:I absolutely get and have zero issue with the rise of the SNP. Scotland deserves far better than how Westminster treats it and everyone in Scotland deserves the opportunity to vote for a party that actually stands up for them and offer the hope of what they want. If the "mainstream parties" had been better then there would have been less need for the SNP revolution.
But at the same time there used to be a solid return of 40+ seats for Labour in Scotland, if that were still the case we would have stood a decent chance of avoiding the gooseberry fool storm of the last 10 years.
I don’t think that’s true, adding together Labour and SNP doesn’t make a majority.
But it does mean the rest of the UK could be screwed if/when Scotland leaves as it’ll be harder for Labour to get any coalition up and running.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 12:34 pm
by Corazon de Leon
Jenuall wrote:Corazon de Leon wrote:Jenuall wrote:I absolutely get and have zero issue with the rise of the SNP. Scotland deserves far better than how Westminster treats it and everyone in Scotland deserves the opportunity to vote for a party that actually stands up for them and offer the hope of what they want. If the "mainstream parties" had been better then there would have been less need for the SNP revolution.
But at the same time there used to be a solid return of 40+ seats for Labour in Scotland, if that were still the case we would have stood a decent chance of avoiding the gooseberry fool storm of the last 10 years.
Then to be perfectly blunt, the major Westminster parties shouldn't have treated north of the border like political poison or the proverbial red-headed stepchild for most of my lifetime.
Absolutely, that's why I said that.
Yeah it wasn't aimed at you tbf, more of a general comment.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 12:42 pm
by Moggy
Conservatives 316
Labour 259
SNP 38
Liberal Democrats 15
DUP 8
Alliance 2
Independent 2
Sinn Fein 7
Brexit Party 0
Plaid Cymru 1
Greens 1
ChangeUK 0
Speaker 1
That's more hopeful than what I am actually expecting, but I can't bring myself to type out a crushing Tory victory.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 12:45 pm
by Oblomov Boblomov
Tomous wrote:Oblomov Boblomov wrote:Predicting a hung parliament, some sort of cross-party collaboration (not a formal coalition), a second referendum and a glorious victory for Remain.
I do love your faith in our glorious victory
It's going to happen and it will be glorious
.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 1:40 pm
by Captain Kinopio
What exactly has Westminster done that’s so awful for Scotland? Aside from Brexit which to be fair is a strawberry floating catastrophe. Does Scotland not get a more than its fair share from tax revenues and have a bunch of subsidised stuff (Education / Prescriptions?) that the rest of the country doesn’t get?
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 1:41 pm
by Drumstick
Drumstick wrote:Conservatives 292
Labour 271
SNP 55
Sinn Fein 9
Liberal Democrats 8
DUP 8
Independent 3
Plaid Cymru 2
Greens 1
Speaker 1
Brexit Party 0
ChangeUK 0
Just to add some exposition; Tory gains in Scotland will be wiped out, as well as losing some key battlegrounds to Labour. SNP will be the main beneficiary of Tory apathy. Lady Caroline will retain Brighton Pavilion. Lib Dems will continue to be insignificant.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 4:37 pm
by Rocsteady
The MRP showed Tories holding onto Scottish seats didn't it?
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 5:08 pm
by Herdanos
Yep
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 5:14 pm
by Tomous
Rocsteady wrote:The MRP showed Tories holding onto Scottish seats didn't it?
I'm pretty sure all 13 of them voted against the Letwin amendment, so it's absolutely crazy the Scottish public are happy to put their faith in people that would happily risk the future of the country for their party, given how damaging a no deal exit would be for Scotland.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Sat Nov 30, 2019 7:44 pm
by Return_of_the_STAR
I'm surprised some are predicting any Brexit party MPs.
Re: Election Prediction 2019 - Guess the makeup of Parliament
Posted: Fri Dec 13, 2019 2:55 pm
by Herdanos
Captain Kinopio wrote:I wrote:Conservatives 325
Labour 250
SNP 30
Liberal Democrats 13
DUP 10
Independent 5
Sinn Fein 7
Brexit Party 4
Plaid Cymru 2
Greens 2
ChangeUK 1
Speaker 1
Think Herbi was closest overall.