GRcades Bet Thread 2

[Psychic]

Forest vs Derby DNB @ 2.10

[Cyburn2]

Man Utd HT/FT (4/6)
Hannover 96 (21/20)

(3.41/1)

[Drumstick]

Might as well write this weekend off as a massive disaster. Why bother.

[more heat than light]

My main stake today has gone on Man Utd -2 @ 7/4, however on the off chance of something going wrong I've had a sneaky bet on HT Draw, FT QPR at an eye watering 28/1. You know, the crowd start getting on their back, they start pushing people forward...

[Psychic]

Man U vs QPR
Mata assist @ 3.00
Rooney 2 or more @ 6.00

[Psychic]

ffs

[Cyburn2]

Man Utd HT/FT (4/6)
Hannover 96 (21/20)

(3.41/1)

[Hawky]

Also, this guy has completed a 10>10k challenge three times last season and is starting a new one today if anyone is interested. He got halfway there with his last attempt couple weeks ago.

https://www.facebook.com/footysupertipster?fref=ts

Got on yesterdays but todays one failed, good job I forgot to check this morning.

[Psychic]

our £14 stake returns £18.66

A treble at those odds, what is the point? Just seems mental to me to risk so much to win so little.

[more heat than light]

our £14 stake returns £18.66

A treble at those odds, what is the point? Just seems mental to me to risk so much to win so little.

Normally I'd tend to agree with you, but since the guy turned a tenner into ten grand three times last season I guess he knows what he's doing. I wouldn't have the stones to bet such high amounts later on in those kind of things.

Can't see anything other than a Hull win tonight, have gone with HT draw, FT Hull @ 4/1.

[Blue Eyes]

Back on the old misery insurance gravy train.

Hull to win @11/10

[Psychic]

Normally I'd tend to agree with you, but since the guy turned a tenner into ten grand three times last season I guess he knows what he's doing. I wouldn't have the stones to bet such high amounts later on in those kind of things.

That's assuming he's telling the truth. Allow me to put on my attorney head for a moment.



The man under the microscope in this instance is the brain-child behind The Football Super Tipster Facebook page. He claims to have turned £10 into £10,000 on a few occasions last season. However, if you check the Facebook page he posts on, he only created the account in February 2014. He states he's had issues with his page, but if that's the case why is this particular one still open?

Not only that, but his first bet of any kind was only posted in August for the Palace/Arsenal game. And for a Football Tipster, his lack of tips on the World Cup is very odd, especially considering he's happy to say how well he did.

Like i said previously its been a pretty lucky one for me, with some big winning bets, i'll get some slips posted over the coming days but dont really want to rub it in as i was unable to post due to the page issues.

He never did post these "winning slips."

Which begs the question then, what's the deal with this page and these £10 to £10k bets?



There is no £10 to £10k bet.

However, the true nature of this Facebook page is revealed pretty quickly after looking at his earlier posts and every post he's made about this supposed challenge. As you'll be able to see, in the first dozen posts or so he made, four in a row were offering enhanced prices if you signed up to Betfair through the link he posted. As the latest £10 to £10k "challenge" started, he switched his links to Bet365. This in itself is not important but there's one key word within both the URL's both links take you to that is.

Affiliate.



Being an affiliate to a betting site allows you to sign up people through your own referall link and gives you a percentage of the net profit that the betting site makes from them. In Bet365's case it's 30% of all the money your sign-up's lose to the betting site going straight into your pocket. As you can imagine, this can be a nice little top-up to have, even at small stakes.

Except Mr Football Super Tipster isn't interested in small stakes. He wants to make some decent money and fast. But how? How do you get people who have signed up through your link to bet larger and larger amounts of money?

You lie and you make up a challenge about betting larger and larger amounts of money, all the while posting your referral link to make sure you're getting a nice slice of the profit when it inevitably fails.



I rest my case.

[more heat than light]

Excellent detective work sir. Seems like it's all a big con, albeit quite a convincing one. Guess I'll just continue betting on ludicrous accumulators in the hope of hitting a big prize instead then.

[Glowy69]

Yeah most of these pages are full of gooseberry fool, they do their first public one and it dies on the second bet.

You're better off doing one yourself.

[Cyburn2]

Its like those places that ask you to pay them to get "the best tips" and "insider knlowedge" for horse racing.

Anyway tonight's double:

SD Eibar (Evs)
Hull (Evs)

(4.00/1)

[Psychic]

Might as well get these up early.

Liverpool vs Ludogorets - Sterling anytime @ 2.29
Monaco vs Bayer Leverkusen @ 2.25
Galatasaray vs Anderlecht @ 1.75

Might back home wins and BTTS in the Real and Liverpool games depending on the teams.

[more heat than light]

Real Madrid -2
Valencia -2
Liverpool -2

£2 treble @ 8.66/1

Watford
Bournemouth
Bolton
Reading
Ipswich
Norwich

10p Heinz

[That's not a growth]

Normally I'd tend to agree with you, but since the guy turned a tenner into ten grand three times last season I guess he knows what he's doing. I wouldn't have the stones to bet such high amounts later on in those kind of things.

That's assuming he's telling the truth. Allow me to put on my attorney head for a moment.



The man under the microscope in this instance is the brain-child behind The Football Super Tipster Facebook page. He claims to have turned £10 into £10,000 on a few occasions last season. However, if you check the Facebook page he posts on, he only created the account in February 2014. He states he's had issues with his page, but if that's the case why is this particular one still open?

Not only that, but his first bet of any kind was only posted in August for the Palace/Arsenal game. And for a Football Tipster, his lack of tips on the World Cup is very odd, especially considering he's happy to say how well he did.

Like i said previously its been a pretty lucky one for me, with some big winning bets, i'll get some slips posted over the coming days but dont really want to rub it in as i was unable to post due to the page issues.

He never did post these "winning slips."

Which begs the question then, what's the deal with this page and these £10 to £10k bets?



There is no £10 to £10k bet.

However, the true nature of this Facebook page is revealed pretty quickly after looking at his earlier posts and every post he's made about this supposed challenge. As you'll be able to see, in the first dozen posts or so he made, four in a row were offering enhanced prices if you signed up to Betfair through the link he posted. As the latest £10 to £10k "challenge" started, he switched his links to Bet365. This in itself is not important but there's one key word within both the URL's both links take you to that is.

Affiliate.



Being an affiliate to a betting site allows you to sign up people through your own referall link and gives you a percentage of the net profit that the betting site makes from them. In Bet365's case it's 30% of all the money your sign-up's lose to the betting site going straight into your pocket. As you can imagine, this can be a nice little top-up to have, even at small stakes.

Except Mr Football Super Tipster isn't interested in small stakes. He wants to make some decent money and fast. But how? How do you get people who have signed up through your link to bet larger and larger amounts of money?

You lie and you make up a challenge about betting larger and larger amounts of money, all the while posting your referral link to make sure you're getting a nice slice of the profit when it inevitably fails.



I rest my case.

I was about to post something about this too. I've been checking it every few days, and he's restarted it at least 3 times this season and deleted most of his posts to make it look like he's only on his second run through.

Complete bollocks.

Another thing to keep in mind, if it did started winning the bookies would hear about it, just like they follow all the racing tips columns. If you keep doing bets like he is now, near the end of the run you would have to bet a few grand each time. There's no way bookies would let a few hundred people bet £5k on the same treble if the last 15 bets came through from that tipster.

When I worked at William Hill we had a guy who signed up and bet about £10k each time, doing less than a dozen bets in a fortnight and they all won. We had no idea where it came from, they weren't all from the same stable or anything normal like that, but we still closed the account. He cleared out over £250k by then.

[Cyburn2]

Got two BTTS doubles there:

Monaco/Bayern Leverkusen No BTTS (11/10)
Lisbon/Zenit No BTTS (5/6)

3.85/1

Juventus/Malmo No BTTS (4/9)
Liverpool/Ludogorets No BTTS (4/6)

2.41/1

[Tomous]

Betfair have offered me 3-1 on Liverpool tonight. Think I'll get on that, although not sure what T&Cs will be