What's going on in North Korea?
Activity in Kim Il-Sung Square in Pyongyang has re-ignited speculation about the health - and whereabouts - of North Korean leader Kim Jong-un.
The removal of two massive portraits of Kim Il-sung and Kim Jong-il - Kim's grandfather and father respectively - were reported by the Seoul-based and US-backed NK News website yesterday.
And it was further reported a statue of Kim Jong-il had also been removed.
https://www.newschain.uk/news/removal-p ... ng-un-8337I've seen speculation that suggests that one or more possible scenarios could be unfolding...
1: Kim Jong-un Died.The Dear Leader cannot have a portrait and statue in this square unless they're dead. If they're making room for Kim Jong-un's statue and portrait, then he's gone.
In that case, the ruling body may be trying to ease the populace into the idea of whatever new order is coming next.
2: Expanding Succession OptionsKim Jong-un, presumably still alive (or if not then whomever is now in charge), may be embarking on a campaign of de-emphasizing the cult surrounding Kim Il-sung and Kim Jong-il. This would go some way to explaining why Kim Jong-un didn't attend his late grandfather's birthday celebrations.
By disassociating the state with the Kim family's patrilineal line of succession, the road would be cleared for a nontraditional successor to acquire legitimacy - the much-discussed sister, perhaps. Maybe even a military junta, if you want to tie this back to the first scenario.
3: Hard Times for the DictatorshipThe nasty fact of life for dictators throughout history is that times of trouble (e.g. falling far behind rival powers) very often breed resentment among the handful of people who actually create the power that the dictator wields, and prop them up with it.
If they aren't being kept rich, fat and happy by the dictator, Kim Jong-un is in trouble. And when that happens, history tells us that aristocracies will, in difficult times, when the incompetence of the government becomes harder to hide, demand concessions from their monarch.
But North Korea isn't entirely closed off - China has long been a key component of the regime's support base. If they don't believe that Kim Jong-un is working in their interests (oh but he does so enjoy palling around with their trade war adversary Trump), if he isn't subservient enough, if he won't deliver like his father and grandfather did, then... who knows. Maybe the Chinese are finally done with the Kim family.
Without a clear idea of what's going on behind the scenes within the North Korean political structure, we'll just have to wait and see.