Oblomov Boblomov wrote:RetroCora wrote:Oblomov Boblomov wrote:Lex-Man wrote:Might want to subtract 18 from the total number of seats to take account of the NI seats.
Good shout. Done!
Van Foster wrote:No guess attempt for SNP seat numbers?
Good shout. Done!
Sorry everyone
please amend your predictions accordingly — you have just over 12 days to do so!
I'm expecting the election campaigns to really ramp up very quickly as we get into 2024. It'll be both interesting and potentially horrifying to see how our expectations shift as the chaos develops.
For what it's worth I suspect the SNP are facing a bit of a collapse now.
Do you expect the Tories to get even a single seat up there? Or could Scotland become part of the Red Wall
.
The Conservatives will win the seats they always win - in the borders, the North-East and maybe that one in Edinburgh that bounces around a bit. The SNP will probably win in Glasgow and a few other constituencies, and the Liberal Democrats will pick up the likes of East Dunbartonshire. Labour will be the big winners, but they still won't be
anywhere near where they were prior to 2014. They never will be - they lost an awful lot of voters like me after 2014 who'll never go back to them.