Squinty wrote:I predict it will be before. Because he needs it to be before. He won't be able to pass anything, he doesn't have the numbers.
I don't think we will leave on 31st, tbh.
If he wants No Deal Brexit though then he doesn’t want to pass anything. An election around 1 November would suit Johnson (if he actually wants No Deal!), he’d shut Parliament down for the election and there would be no stopping it.
Although that’s also the reason I think he will not do it. Labour/Lib Dems/SNP would surely block any attempt at calling an election just to force through No Deal. Johnson might try it as a stunt though I guess, “See, I wanted an election and they stopped me despite Corbyn saying he wanted one!”.
I don’t know anymore if leaving on 31 October is likely or not. Johnson has backed himself into a corner with it, anything less than leaving with No Deal on 31 October will be pounced on by the Brexit Party and the eurosceptic Tories. He’s going to be forced to try and do it. It all comes down to if he calls an election before the deadline or if Parliament can stop him.