Karl_ wrote:Remember that the smart money is on the Tories doing worse than predicted now, pre-campaign. If they are predicted to lose seats now, there is real hope they will be decimated once the manifestos go out and the fair coverage rules kick in.
I'm expecting a hung Parliament and I don't foresee any help from the Lib Dems, so God knows what would happen when it came to forming a coalition, but there is actually some hope for Labour being the largest party.
The expectation up here seems to be another yellow wave, if not quite as all-encompassing as the one we got in 2015 - Swinson will lamentably keep her seat, as will David Mundell and a couple of Labour candidates(hopefully not the former schoolmate of mine who is the MP for Springburn and Dennistoun).
What I’d expect to happen in that case is that Labour will ultimately have to get into bed with the SNP to gain a majority, with the price being Indyref 2: Independence Harder. I’d then expect Scotland to be an independent nation by about 2025.