[iup=3567796]kommissarboris[/iup] wrote:If they get independence I want independence
Is there much appetite for Independence in NI or is it all Dublin vs Westminster?
I have no idea.
I read not too long ago that support for an all Ireland reunification wasn't very strong in Ireland and had dropped off in Northern Ireland a bit due to the economic capers over the last few years.
If there was a vote on reunification tomorrow in the ROI it'd probably pass handily but the rise of Sinn Fein has dampened any appetite among the other political parties for reunification. Realistically there aren't many partnerships they could forge with NI parties so Sinn Fein could end up as the biggest party in an all-island Ireland.
If there was a vote now NI would vote to stay in the UK. If Scotland votes to leave I think there will be a major shift towards reunification. Unionism will turn from being Pro-British to Anti-Irish which will piss alot of people off. Unionism will slowly die with there being no Union left to defend and the choice will either be a Northern Ireland state or a United Ireland. And I do not what our useless fuckwit politicians in charge of an actual country.
[iup=3567850]Moggy[/iup] wrote:Do we know when the results will be announced?
The official result will be Friday morning although as the area votes are counted if they are revealed immediately as with General Elections, a strong decision in either direction will unofficially give the game away.
As soon as voting stops at 10pm the TV and media companies will count up their exit polls and that should give a strong indication.
What the strawberry float are the BBC going to do with all their overnight coverage then? It isn't like you are going to get results flow in like a general election, but they are covering it from 10:40pm until the morning!
[iup=3567861]Tineash[/iup] wrote:No exit polls, for some reason.
Damn, you're right.
The absence of an exit poll means we’ll be robbed of a post-vote analysis of how this momentous referendum was decided. Anyone who’s sat up watching the TV on election night knows there’s a pattern to how things go: before the polls close, early in the evening, broadcasters assiduously say as little as possible to avoid breaking election broadcasting rules.
Then comes 10pm, and the polls close. Moments later, the anchor behind the desk (almost always a Dimbleby of some description) gives the results of the exit poll – often the only bit of red meat to talk about for the next several hours. Except, as the polls close in the Scottish referendum, this won’t happen – as neither the BBC nor any other media outlet has bothered to pay to get one done.
Exit polls are the best form of voting-related data we can ever get our hands on. They’re collected by large numbers of researchers standing outside polling stations and asking tens of thousands of people how they voted – as well as collecting a little demographic information, such as age, gender, race or social class. The most visible outlet for the results of this (quite expensive) work is in the first hours after polls close: it gives a snapshot of the result while the laborious work of actually counting the votes is done.
As we won’t start to see the referendum results start to trickle in until at least 2am, without an exit poll broadcasters will have to fill the first four hours of their coverage with … what, exactly? This “poll” of Grindr users might be as good as anything else we’ve got (about 53-47 against independence, if you were wondering).
Why no exit poll for such a momentous and consequential vote? The first possibility is that no one thought the vote would be close, and so deemed it as not interesting enough to be worthy of the spend. More likely, hopefully, is that the broadcasters were afraid of the consequences of a poll being wrong: if the BBC spends four hours discussing a poll that’s 51-49 in favour of yes, and when the final votes come in the result is no, deputy heads may roll amid the backlash.