US Election 2020 - WE HAVE A WINNER - Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President!!

Last edited by Monkey Man on Sat Nov 07, 2020 5:58 pm, edited 11 times in total.

twitter.com/AP/status/1325112826072084480

When

Tuesday November 3rd 2020, the 1st polls close at midnight tonight UK time. The new president is officially sworn into office on 20 January 2021.

Presidential Candidates

Democrat Joe Biden and Kamala Harris

Republican (Incumbent) Donald Trump and Mike Pence

Details of the election -

Real Clear Politics National Polling - https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epoll ... -6247.html

FiveThirtyEight National Polling - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/po ... /national/

Senate

35 Senate seats are also up for grabs. Republicans currently have a 53-47 Majority, if it ends in a tie the Vice-President will cast their vote. Seven Republican Senators are defending seats classed as toss-ups: in Maine, Iowa, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia and Montana two in Georgia. Only one Democratic incumbent, in Alabama, looks especially vulnerable.

FiveThirtyEight Senate Polling - https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/senate/

The five Senate races to watch - https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-us-2020-54504585
US Senate elections: the key races that will determine power in Washington - https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/202 ... washington

House

All of the chamber’s 435 seats are up for Grabs. Democrats currently have a 232-198 majority. Of the 44 races considered competitive, 27 currently have a Republican incumbent, 16 have a Democratic incumbent and one has an independent.

US House elections: Competitive races unlikely to flip majority - https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2020/10/ ... p-majority

Post-Election

Oh bloody hell. Here we go.

Prepare to surf that Blue Wave!! :toot:

I'm so nervous about tonight :fp:

. If it goes the wrong way, I'm just retreating into my shell and ignoring everything outside my own personal sanctum for the foreseeable future.

Got money on Trump getting low 40s vote share. Hopefully Biden wipes the floor with him in the EC too.

twitter.com/DixvilleVote/status/1323494105058562049

2016 was Clinton 4, Trump 2, Johnson 1, Romney 1. Not sure what happened to the other 3 this time.

PostRe: US Election 2020 - The Race to 270. by KK » Tue Nov 03, 2020 8:46 am

Well if the pollsters have got this wrong and it’s not a Biden victory they may as well close up shop.

I have concerns that the first few pages of this thread will be similar to the first few pages of the original Brexit Referendum thread where we were just all so confident that people couldn't be so catastrophically stupid...

Mini E wrote:I have concerns that the first few pages of this thread will be similar to the first few pages of the original Brexit Referendum thread where we were just all so confident that people couldn't be so catastrophically stupid...

I say let's crack on with full-blown optimism.

If we're wrong, at least we have a few hours of joy and excitement.

If we're right, the party keeps going :toot:

.

Corazon de Leon

KK wrote:Well if the pollsters have got this wrong and it’s not a Biden victory they may as well close up shop.

Populist political elections are extremely difficult to predict and model for, it's not necessarily a failure of the polling model if Trump wins.

Monkey Man wrote:

twitter.com/DixvilleVote/status/1323494105058562049

2016 was Clinton 4, Trump 2, Johnson 1, Romney 1. Not sure what happened to the other 3 this time.

The American version of Sunderland.

Good OP.

I'm going to try and stay up until midnight.

Great opening post there, Monkey Man.

Thoughts and prayers to the whole world right now.

Corazon de Leon wrote:
KK wrote:Well if the pollsters have got this wrong and it’s not a Biden victory they may as well close up shop.

Populist political elections are extremely difficult to predict and model for, it's not necessarily a failure of the polling model if Trump wins.

Lies, Cora has been in the pocket of Big Polling for years :roll:

Well hot damn! Y'all excited about that there election? :toot:

Just enjoy the fact that today at least the President is pissing his pants.

DML wrote:Just enjoy the fact that today at least the President is pissing his pants.

At his age I would imagine that's been happening for a while.

Please also remember that this isn't the only huge event taking place today

twitter.com/AP_Planner/status/1323321197472481281

Corazon de Leon

Preezy wrote:
Corazon de Leon wrote:
KK wrote:Well if the pollsters have got this wrong and it’s not a Biden victory they may as well close up shop.

Populist political elections are extremely difficult to predict and model for, it's not necessarily a failure of the polling model if Trump wins.

Lies, Cora has been in the pocket of Big Polling for years

Monkey Man wrote:

twitter.com/DixvilleVote/status/1323494105058562049

2016 was Clinton 4, Trump 2, Johnson 1, Romney 1. Not sure what happened to the other 3 this time.

Isn't this illegal? Declaring results whilst polls are open?

DML wrote:Just enjoy the fact that today at least the President is pissing his pants.

Isn't he into that? Allegedly

US Election 2020 - WE HAVE A WINNER - Joe Biden has been elected the 46th President!!

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