US Politics 2

a dan from grcade wrote:

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Nice work Cora!

What do you think the chances are of a contingent election? And what do you think would happen if there were to be a 'tie'? By my maths, if Trump wins Wisconsin Arizona, Florida and Georgia, and Biden takes North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, there will be no majority winner and both candidates will have the same number of electoral college votes. (So one faithless elector - someone in Vermont casting for Bernie? - could decide the election!)

I've had a quick read and it seems that the rules in this event are that the House elects the president and the Senate the VP. But at the last tie (a long long time ago) the outgoing congress elected the president. This has since been changed so the incoming congress would do so, but as this change has never been implemented, and the supreme court is now packed in Trump's favour, there's every chance for shenanigans...

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Nice work Cora!

What do you think the chances are of a contingent election? And what do you think would happen if there were to be a 'tie'? By my maths, if Trump wins Wisconsin Arizona, Florida and Georgia, and Biden takes North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, there will be no majority winner and both candidates will have the same number of electoral college votes. (So one faithless elector - someone in Vermont casting for Bernie? - could decide the election!)

I've had a quick read and it seems that the rules in this event are that the House elects the president and the Senate the VP. But at the last tie (a long long time ago) the outgoing congress elected the president. This has since been changed so the incoming congress would do so, but as this change has never been implemented, and the supreme court is now packed in Trump's favour, there's every chance for shenanigans...

I was reading into that the other day, 538 have the chances of a tie at 1 in 100 I think.

a dan from grcade wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Nice work Cora!

What do you think the chances are of a contingent election? And what do you think would happen if there were to be a 'tie'? By my maths, if Trump wins Wisconsin Arizona, Florida and Georgia, and Biden takes North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, there will be no majority winner and both candidates will have the same number of electoral college votes. (So one faithless elector - someone in Vermont casting for Bernie? - could decide the election!)

I've had a quick read and it seems that the rules in this event are that the House elects the president and the Senate the VP. But at the last tie (a long long time ago) the outgoing congress elected the president. This has since been changed so the incoming congress would do so, but as this change has never been implemented, and the supreme court is now packed in Trump's favour, there's every chance for shenanigans...

I was reading into that the other day, 538 have the chances of a tie at 1 in 100 I think.

I recall they stated the chances of a Trump win were somewhat similar back in 2016...

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Nice work Cora!

What do you think the chances are of a contingent election? And what do you think would happen if there were to be a 'tie'? By my maths, if Trump wins Wisconsin Arizona, Florida and Georgia, and Biden takes North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, there will be no majority winner and both candidates will have the same number of electoral college votes. (So one faithless elector - someone in Vermont casting for Bernie? - could decide the election!)

I've had a quick read and it seems that the rules in this event are that the House elects the president and the Senate the VP. But at the last tie (a long long time ago) the outgoing congress elected the president. This has since been changed so the incoming congress would do so, but as this change has never been implemented, and the supreme court is now packed in Trump's favour, there's every chance for shenanigans...

I was reading into that the other day, 538 have the chances of a tie at 1 in 100 I think.

I recall they stated the chances of a Trump win were somewhat similar back in 2016...

I think 538 actually had him at a 30% chance of winning the EC in 2016 to be fair.

Alvin Flummux wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Nice work Cora!

What do you think the chances are of a contingent election? And what do you think would happen if there were to be a 'tie'? By my maths, if Trump wins Wisconsin Arizona, Florida and Georgia, and Biden takes North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, there will be no majority winner and both candidates will have the same number of electoral college votes. (So one faithless elector - someone in Vermont casting for Bernie? - could decide the election!)

I've had a quick read and it seems that the rules in this event are that the House elects the president and the Senate the VP. But at the last tie (a long long time ago) the outgoing congress elected the president. This has since been changed so the incoming congress would do so, but as this change has never been implemented, and the supreme court is now packed in Trump's favour, there's every chance for shenanigans...

I was reading into that the other day, 538 have the chances of a tie at 1 in 100 I think.

I recall they stated the chances of a Trump win were somewhat similar back in 2016...

I think 538 actually had him at a 30% chance of winning the EC in 2016 to be fair.

Even a 10% chance is still significant and not to be underestimated. It's pundits and journalists who take these polling aggregations and turn them into bullshit headlines.

Moggy wrote:

Alvin Flummux wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Nice work Cora!

What do you think the chances are of a contingent election? And what do you think would happen if there were to be a 'tie'? By my maths, if Trump wins Wisconsin Arizona, Florida and Georgia, and Biden takes North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, there will be no majority winner and both candidates will have the same number of electoral college votes. (So one faithless elector - someone in Vermont casting for Bernie? - could decide the election!)

I've had a quick read and it seems that the rules in this event are that the House elects the president and the Senate the VP. But at the last tie (a long long time ago) the outgoing congress elected the president. This has since been changed so the incoming congress would do so, but as this change has never been implemented, and the supreme court is now packed in Trump's favour, there's every chance for shenanigans...

I was reading into that the other day, 538 have the chances of a tie at 1 in 100 I think.

I recall they stated the chances of a Trump win were somewhat similar back in 2016...

I think 538 actually had him at a 30% chance of winning the EC in 2016 to be fair.

Even a 10% chance is still significant and not to be underestimated. It's pundits and journalists who take these polling aggregations and turn them into bullshit headlines.

True. A 10/1 shot in a horse race might not be expected to win, but it's not headline news if it does.

Oblomov Boblomov wrote:

Moggy wrote:

Alvin Flummux wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Tomous wrote:

a dan from grcade wrote:

Corazon de Leon wrote:If anyone’s interested:

https://usso.uk/old-dog-old-tricks-americas-exhaustion-with-donald-trumps-divisive-rhetoric/

Not my finest work in any way shape or form, but it’s really nice to see something published somewhere.

Nice work Cora!

What do you think the chances are of a contingent election? And what do you think would happen if there were to be a 'tie'? By my maths, if Trump wins Wisconsin Arizona, Florida and Georgia, and Biden takes North Carolina, Michigan and Pennsylvania, there will be no majority winner and both candidates will have the same number of electoral college votes. (So one faithless elector - someone in Vermont casting for Bernie? - could decide the election!)

I've had a quick read and it seems that the rules in this event are that the House elects the president and the Senate the VP. But at the last tie (a long long time ago) the outgoing congress elected the president. This has since been changed so the incoming congress would do so, but as this change has never been implemented, and the supreme court is now packed in Trump's favour, there's every chance for shenanigans...

I was reading into that the other day, 538 have the chances of a tie at 1 in 100 I think.

I recall they stated the chances of a Trump win were somewhat similar back in 2016...

I think 538 actually had him at a 30% chance of winning the EC in 2016 to be fair.

Even a 10% chance is still significant and not to be underestimated. It's pundits and journalists who take these polling aggregations and turn them into bullshit headlines.

True. A 10/1 shot in a horse race might not be expected to win, but it's not headline news if it does.

It would be if there was one horse race every four years .

twitter.com/nikkimcr/status/1321608091503366144

Monkey Man wrote:

twitter.com/nikkimcr/status/1321608091503366144

They’re truly getting desperate.

Monkey Man wrote:

twitter.com/nikkimcr/status/1321608091503366144

They’re truly getting desperate.

Garth wrote:

Preezy wrote:

Garth wrote:

Dude looks just like Trump

Preezy wrote:Watching Farage bow down and lick the feet of Trump in that rally

[Pathetic.jpg]

Have some self-respect you snivelling toad