Cuttooth wrote:DML wrote:Victor Mildew wrote:Moggy wrote:captain red dog wrote:Honestly I can't get my hopes up that Trump will be out. The polls have been completely wrong so many times recently.
The polls are never all that wrong. They were spot on with the popular vote. The trouble is
the electoral college.
And from what little I understand about that, is that collectively just decide the outcome regardless of votes.
Hes got big leads in nearly all the swing states.
And when you say the polls have been wrong so many times, what you mean is 'twice - and just barely'.
Biden's leads in Florida and North Carolina have both narrowed recently and are turning into tossups. He should still hold on to Pennsylvania and is comfortable in the midwest but it's much tighter than it was a couple of months ago.
That coupled with the likelihood of results on the day of the election likely being better for Trump than Biden due to more people voting via the post and you have a recipe for an incredibly hairy November.
The polls in Florida for Biden have barely changed. There's been higher polling for Trump which has narrowed it, I find it unbelievable that there are still "undecideds" in America. Surely by now they should know if they love or hate Trump? Who the hell thinks "he's ok"?
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/florida/The postal votes are going to make this messy. If Trump wins on the day, he's going to go all out on postal votes being unreliable/fraudulent. It could go on for weeks and will only get nastier.
Will be interesting if Trump narrowly loses on the day, will he then change his mind to say postal votes are great and he can't concede until all votes are counted?